Florida's 17th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 63.9% win in 2024. Greg Steube faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Matthew Montavon, who prevailed in his party's August primary, and independent Michael Quirk. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome, though a national wave election or unforeseen candidate-specific development could still narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,845 交易量
$15,845 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
91%
民主黨
8%
$15,845 交易量
$15,845 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$8,211 交易量
91%
民主黨
$7,634 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 17th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 63.9% win in 2024. Greg Steube faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Matthew Montavon, who prevailed in his party's August primary, and independent Michael Quirk. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome, though a national wave election or unforeseen candidate-specific development could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$15,845結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 17th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 63.9% win in 2024. Greg Steube faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Matthew Montavon, who prevailed in his party's August primary, and independent Michael Quirk. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome, though a national wave election or unforeseen candidate-specific development could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,845結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETFlorida's 17th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 63.9% win in 2024. Greg Steube faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election against Democrat Matthew Montavon, who prevailed in his party's August primary, and independent Michael Quirk. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus around the Republican outcome, though a national wave election or unforeseen candidate-specific development could still narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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