Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild early-summer pattern over the Netherlands on June 18, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. This consensus, supported by recent observational trends showing gradual warming from 23–25°C baselines earlier in the month, underpins the market’s emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Minimal model spread and absence of heat advection or clear-sky amplification keep higher probabilities (29°C+) subdued, while typical North Sea moderation limits downside risk below 25°C. Traders monitor final afternoon observations from Amsterdam stations for any last adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,163 交易量
$49,163 交易量
2026-06-18
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,163 交易量
$49,163 交易量
2026-06-18
21°C or below
$396 交易量
No
22°C
$492 交易量
No
23°C
$744 交易量
No
24°C
$2,016 交易量
No
25°C
$5,887 交易量
No
26°C
$8,920 交易量
No
27°C
$10,068 交易量
No
28°C
$7,695 交易量
Yes
29°C
$7,032 交易量
No
30°C
$4,052 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$1,860 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild early-summer pattern over the Netherlands on June 18, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. This consensus, supported by recent observational trends showing gradual warming from 23–25°C baselines earlier in the month, underpins the market’s emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Minimal model spread and absence of heat advection or clear-sky amplification keep higher probabilities (29°C+) subdued, while typical North Sea moderation limits downside risk below 25°C. Traders monitor final afternoon observations from Amsterdam stations for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
交易量
$49,163結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild early-summer pattern over the Netherlands on June 18, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. This consensus, supported by recent observational trends showing gradual warming from 23–25°C baselines earlier in the month, underpins the market’s emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Minimal model spread and absence of heat advection or clear-sky amplification keep higher probabilities (29°C+) subdued, while typical North Sea moderation limits downside risk below 25°C. Traders monitor final afternoon observations from Amsterdam stations for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,163結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild early-summer pattern over the Netherlands on June 18, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, consistent with climatological averages for mid-June. This consensus, supported by recent observational trends showing gradual warming from 23–25°C baselines earlier in the month, underpins the market’s emphasis on 26–28°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Minimal model spread and absence of heat advection or clear-sky amplification keep higher probabilities (29°C+) subdued, while typical North Sea moderation limits downside risk below 25°C. Traders monitor final afternoon observations from Amsterdam stations for any last adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions