Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 交易量
$116,241 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$116,241 交易量
$116,241 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C at 100% implied probability for Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, backed by official METAR observations recording a midday peak of 19°C around 14:00 local time. This aligns with forecast model consensus from global systems like ECMWF and GFS, which predicted mild highs under persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and a cool air mass over northern China—conditions suppressing solar heating despite early spring norms around 20°C. Mainly cloudy skies per China Meteorological Administration-linked reports prevented further warming, with sunset approaching and temperatures already declining. Realistic challenges are negligible, as daily maxima are finalized post-observation; only a rare data revision could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions