Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, reflecting official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that showed a daily maximum near 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-winter. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs range from 14–17°C, and recent model runs from regional forecasting centers confirmed limited diurnal warming amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow. While measurement precision at official stations and minor urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainty, the market-implied certainty indicates no credible alternative readings emerged. Scenarios that could have challenged this include an unexpected warm advection event or revised station data exceeding 16.5°C, but post-event verification has closed those pathways.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$32,564 交易量
$32,564 交易量
2026-08-05
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$32,564 交易量
$32,564 交易量
2026-08-05
11°C or below
$285 交易量
No
12°C
$674 交易量
No
13°C
$501 交易量
No
14°C
$2,470 交易量
No
15°C
$4,904 交易量
No
16°C
$10,392 交易量
Yes
17°C
$6,629 交易量
No
18°C
$3,454 交易量
No
19°C
$2,400 交易量
No
20°C
$557 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$298 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, reflecting official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that showed a daily maximum near 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-winter. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs range from 14–17°C, and recent model runs from regional forecasting centers confirmed limited diurnal warming amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow. While measurement precision at official stations and minor urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainty, the market-implied certainty indicates no credible alternative readings emerged. Scenarios that could have challenged this include an unexpected warm advection event or revised station data exceeding 16.5°C, but post-event verification has closed those pathways.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$32,564結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, reflecting official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that showed a daily maximum near 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-winter. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs range from 14–17°C, and recent model runs from regional forecasting centers confirmed limited diurnal warming amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow. While measurement precision at official stations and minor urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainty, the market-implied certainty indicates no credible alternative readings emerged. Scenarios that could have challenged this include an unexpected warm advection event or revised station data exceeding 16.5°C, but post-event verification has closed those pathways.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,564結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 5, 2026, reflecting official meteorological observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional that showed a daily maximum near 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-winter. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs range from 14–17°C, and recent model runs from regional forecasting centers confirmed limited diurnal warming amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow. While measurement precision at official stations and minor urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainty, the market-implied certainty indicates no credible alternative readings emerged. Scenarios that could have challenged this include an unexpected warm advection event or revised station data exceeding 16.5°C, but post-event verification has closed those pathways.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions