Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's authoritative station, confirm a maximum temperature of 63°F on April 18, 2026, at 12:12 AM local standard time, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F outcome commanding 100% market-implied probability. Persistent rain, light rain, and fog—coupled with an advancing upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air—suppressed highs well below the prior day's near-73°F peak and the 60°F climatological normal, as detailed in the NWS Chicago daily climatological report. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified measurements from automated surface observing systems. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data revisions or instrumentation anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥4月18日的最高溫度?
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$253,090 交易量
$253,090 交易量
53°F或以下
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
是
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72°F或更高
否
62-63°F 100.0%
53°F或以下 <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$253,090 交易量
$253,090 交易量
53°F或以下
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
是
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the market's authoritative station, confirm a maximum temperature of 63°F on April 18, 2026, at 12:12 AM local standard time, aligning precisely with the 62-63°F outcome commanding 100% market-implied probability. Persistent rain, light rain, and fog—coupled with an advancing upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air—suppressed highs well below the prior day's near-73°F peak and the 60°F climatological normal, as detailed in the NWS Chicago daily climatological report. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified measurements from automated surface observing systems. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data revisions or instrumentation anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments seldom exceed 1-2°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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