Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$50,705 交易量
$50,705 交易量
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$50,705 交易量
$50,705 交易量
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's designated station, recorded a maximum temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, around 2 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This aligned with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from HRRR and GFS ensembles projecting highs in the low 80s under a mid-level ridge fostering light southerly winds (5-10 kt) and partial sunshine, with dewpoints near 70°F capping heat index but allowing efficient daytime heating above the April climatological normal of 77°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument audits or quality control discrepancies by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, though verified ASOS readings make this improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions