Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via official outlets like the National Center for Meteorology (NCM), project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 around 36–39°C under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via downslope flow off the Red Sea coastal plains. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with implied probabilities clustered in the mid-to-upper 30s°C due to sea breeze moderation capping extremes below 40°C in 70% of ensemble members, while outliers account for 33°C-or-below (27.5%) from potential haze or marine layer persistence and 43°C-or-higher (26%) from stronger subsidence and clear skies. Recent days saw highs rising from 33°C amid clearing after southern thunderstorms, but short-range uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 12Z model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 29%
37°C 21%
39°C 21%
35°C 18%
33°C or below
11%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
18%
37°C
21%
38°C
29%
39°C
21%
40°C
10%
41°C
9%
42°C
6%
43°C or higher
5%
38°C 29%
37°C 21%
39°C 21%
35°C 18%
33°C or below
11%
34°C
16%
35°C
18%
36°C
18%
37°C
21%
38°C
29%
39°C
21%
40°C
10%
41°C
9%
42°C
6%
43°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via official outlets like the National Center for Meteorology (NCM), project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 around 36–39°C under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds enhancing daytime heating via downslope flow off the Red Sea coastal plains. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with implied probabilities clustered in the mid-to-upper 30s°C due to sea breeze moderation capping extremes below 40°C in 70% of ensemble members, while outliers account for 33°C-or-below (27.5%) from potential haze or marine layer persistence and 43°C-or-higher (26%) from stronger subsidence and clear skies. Recent days saw highs rising from 33°C amid clearing after southern thunderstorms, but short-range uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 12Z model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions