Official observations from Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 41°C reached mid-afternoon on April 17, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome, as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with high-pressure systems and clear skies fostering intense solar heating over the Red Sea coastal region, where April climatology typically sees highs around 32–35°C but allows outliers up to 40°C+ under subsidence conditions. Current evening readings show cooling below 35°C with sunset past, minimizing further escalation risks. Realistic challenges would require a post-sunset data revision or unverified outlier measurement, though standard meteorological protocols make this improbable; final National Center for Meteorology validation expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$51,015 交易量
$51,015 交易量
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$51,015 交易量
$51,015 交易量
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 41°C reached mid-afternoon on April 17, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome, as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with high-pressure systems and clear skies fostering intense solar heating over the Red Sea coastal region, where April climatology typically sees highs around 32–35°C but allows outliers up to 40°C+ under subsidence conditions. Current evening readings show cooling below 35°C with sunset past, minimizing further escalation risks. Realistic challenges would require a post-sunset data revision or unverified outlier measurement, though standard meteorological protocols make this improbable; final National Center for Meteorology validation expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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