Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日吉達的最高溫度?
37°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 交易量
$40,145 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
37°C 100.0%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 交易量
$40,145 交易量
30°C或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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