India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies, following a recent unseasonal rain that cooled observed highs to 36-38°C on April 14, with low humidity around 30% at peak hours enabling strong solar heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 41°C at 28.5% implied probability amid an intensifying regional heatwave in Uttar Pradesh, where dry northwesterly winds and subsidence promote gradual rises of 2-4°C. The tight race with 37°C or below at 25.5% reflects uncertainty in model ensembles, as any afternoon cloud development or shear could cap peaks below 39°C, while prolonged clear conditions might push toward 40-41°C; watch IMD's April 16 update for refined guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
41°C 27%
40°C 21%
42°C 20%
39°C 19%
37°C or below
11%
38°C
18%
39°C
19%
40°C
21%
41°C
27%
42°C
20%
43°C
18%
44°C
15%
45°C
11%
46°C
3%
47°C or higher
3%
41°C 27%
40°C 21%
42°C 20%
39°C 19%
37°C or below
11%
38°C
18%
39°C
19%
40°C
21%
41°C
27%
42°C
20%
43°C
18%
44°C
15%
45°C
11%
46°C
3%
47°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies, following a recent unseasonal rain that cooled observed highs to 36-38°C on April 14, with low humidity around 30% at peak hours enabling strong solar heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 41°C at 28.5% implied probability amid an intensifying regional heatwave in Uttar Pradesh, where dry northwesterly winds and subsidence promote gradual rises of 2-4°C. The tight race with 37°C or below at 25.5% reflects uncertainty in model ensembles, as any afternoon cloud development or shear could cap peaks below 39°C, while prolonged clear conditions might push toward 40-41°C; watch IMD's April 16 update for refined guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions