Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 交易量
$41,902 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
否
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 交易量
$41,902 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
否
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions