Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 20?
50-51°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$238,373 交易量
$238,373 交易量
2026-04-20
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$238,373 交易量
$238,373 交易量
2026-04-20
45°F or below
$57,026 交易量
No
46-47°F
$32,403 交易量
No
48-49°F
$44,319 交易量
No
50-51°F
$22,525 交易量
Yes
52-53°F
$20,928 交易量
No
54-55°F
$17,305 交易量
No
56-57°F
$16,693 交易量
No
58-59°F
$6,449 交易量
No
60-61°F
$5,466 交易量
No
62-63°F
$7,711 交易量
No
64°F or higher
$7,549 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$238,373結束日期
2026-04-20市場開放時間
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$238,373結束日期
2026-04-20市場開放時間
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions