Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 54-57°F highs for Seattle on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance indicating lingering showers and partly cloudy skies amid an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, capping diurnal heating. This setup, persisting from unsettled conditions earlier in the week, promotes marine layer persistence from the Puget Sound, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 55-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's likely resolution source. Differentiation between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (38.5%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential Puget Sound convergence zone showers suppressing peaks, versus brief clearing allowing 1-2°F warmer outcomes—watch final 12z model runs and morning observations for shifts ahead of evening resolution. April climatology averages 57-58°F, but current troughing favors below-normal temps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 38%
54-55°F 30%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 12%
最新
$15,038 交易量
最新
$15,038 交易量
2026-04-17
51°F或以下
3%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
38%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
華氏70度或以上
<1%
56-57°F 38%
54-55°F 30%
58-59°F 18%
52-53°F 12%
最新
$15,038 交易量
最新
$15,038 交易量
2026-04-17
51°F或以下
$2,675 交易量
3%
52-53°F
$1,486 交易量
12%
54-55°F
$1,338 交易量
30%
56-57°F
$1,396 交易量
38%
58-59°F
$1,338 交易量
18%
60-61°F
$1,794 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$1,106 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$910 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,084 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$925 交易量
<1%
華氏70度或以上
$1,118 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 54-57°F highs for Seattle on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance indicating lingering showers and partly cloudy skies amid an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, capping diurnal heating. This setup, persisting from unsettled conditions earlier in the week, promotes marine layer persistence from the Puget Sound, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 55-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's likely resolution source. Differentiation between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (38.5%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential Puget Sound convergence zone showers suppressing peaks, versus brief clearing allowing 1-2°F warmer outcomes—watch final 12z model runs and morning observations for shifts ahead of evening resolution. April climatology averages 57-58°F, but current troughing favors below-normal temps.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
交易量
$15,038結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 54-57°F highs for Seattle on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance indicating lingering showers and partly cloudy skies amid an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, capping diurnal heating. This setup, persisting from unsettled conditions earlier in the week, promotes marine layer persistence from the Puget Sound, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 55-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's likely resolution source. Differentiation between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (38.5%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential Puget Sound convergence zone showers suppressing peaks, versus brief clearing allowing 1-2°F warmer outcomes—watch final 12z model runs and morning observations for shifts ahead of evening resolution. April climatology averages 57-58°F, but current troughing favors below-normal temps.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,038結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 54-57°F highs for Seattle on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance indicating lingering showers and partly cloudy skies amid an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest, capping diurnal heating. This setup, persisting from unsettled conditions earlier in the week, promotes marine layer persistence from the Puget Sound, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 55-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's likely resolution source. Differentiation between 54-55°F (31%) and 56-57°F (38.5%) stems from uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential Puget Sound convergence zone showers suppressing peaks, versus brief clearing allowing 1-2°F warmer outcomes—watch final 12z model runs and morning observations for shifts ahead of evening resolution. April climatology averages 57-58°F, but current troughing favors below-normal temps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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