Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$91,640 交易量
$91,640 交易量
2026-05-20
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$91,640 交易量
$91,640 交易量
2026-05-20
15°C or below
$314 交易量
No
16°C
$58 交易量
No
17°C
$210 交易量
No
18°C
$3,205 交易量
No
19°C
$2,461 交易量
No
20°C
$36,672 交易量
No
21°C
$32,554 交易量
Yes
22°C
$8,978 交易量
No
23°C
$3,038 交易量
No
24°C
$1,707 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$2,444 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$91,640結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$91,640結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime high of 21°C in Seoul on May 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, establishing the strong market consensus at that level. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features highs between 20–23°C, and today’s stable atmospheric conditions—with no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification—align closely with this range. Official short-range guidance shows minimal model spread and low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations. Traders assign only negligible probability to outcomes above 21°C because any late-day warming would require rapid changes in cloud cover or urban heat-island effects not supported by the latest observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions