Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 23?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 交易量
$85,102 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$85,102 交易量
$85,102 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
$286 交易量
No
27°C
$293 交易量
No
28°C
$286 交易量
No
29°C
$1,951 交易量
No
30°C
$2,024 交易量
No
31°C
$6,549 交易量
No
32°C
$18,752 交易量
No
33°C
$28,137 交易量
No
34°C
$9,998 交易量
Yes
35°C
$9,015 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$7,811 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$85,102結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85,102結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current numerical weather model consensus for Shenzhen on June 23 points to a daytime high near 32 °C, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s warm, moist southwesterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent regional heavy rainfall and elevated sea-surface temperatures have increased atmospheric humidity and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C through reduced insolation or brief showers, while clearer intervals or stronger solar heating could push values toward 33–34 °C. Historical June climatology shows averages of 31–32 °C, but early-season heat anomalies and variable steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds between 31 °C and 33 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions