Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 22?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,044 交易量
$51,044 交易量
2026-05-22
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,044 交易量
$51,044 交易量
2026-05-22
22°C or below
$772 交易量
No
23°C
$972 交易量
No
24°C
$585 交易量
No
25°C
$712 交易量
No
26°C
$944 交易量
No
27°C
$3,597 交易量
No
28°C
$3,408 交易量
No
29°C
$4,699 交易量
No
30°C
$4,187 交易量
No
31°C
$15,372 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$15,797 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$51,044結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,044結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles indicate a strengthening subtropical high over the Pearl River Delta, promoting clearer skies, light southerly winds, and surface warming that supports afternoon highs of 32°C or higher in Shenzhen on May 22. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where seasonal averages reach 29–32°C under stable high pressure and minimal rainfall. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C or above reflects tight model agreement on these conditions. A sudden increase in cloud cover, scattered showers, or a shift in steering patterns could still cap temperatures near 31°C, though such revisions appear unlikely based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions