Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 5?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,985 交易量
$43,985 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,985 交易量
$43,985 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies show a strong consensus for a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on June 5, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-summer subtropical warming patterns. Official guidance places the expected peak squarely at this level, with minimal deviation projected across ensemble runs, which explains the market's near-certain pricing on 31°C. Historical June averages for the region hover near 28–30°C, providing context for why traders see little room for outliers today. Resolution hinges on verified station readings meeting or exceeding this threshold before midnight local time. Unseasonal cloud cover or a sudden wind shift could still push the actual high lower, though current data make that outcome unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions