Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and numerical models points to a high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31, following a rare late-August rain system that brought cooler, partly cloudy conditions and a slight drop below seasonal averages over the weekend. Westerly winds and stabilizing high pressure are expected to limit further cooling while preventing significant warming, keeping values near the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 30–32°C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (62.5%) and 31°C (34.5%), with only marginal odds on 33°C or lower thresholds reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 63%
31°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
34%
32°C
63%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
34%
32°C
63%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and numerical models points to a high of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 31, following a rare late-August rain system that brought cooler, partly cloudy conditions and a slight drop below seasonal averages over the weekend. Westerly winds and stabilizing high pressure are expected to limit further cooling while preventing significant warming, keeping values near the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 30–32°C. This narrow range underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (62.5%) and 31°C (34.5%), with only marginal odds on 33°C or lower thresholds reflecting limited upside potential absent unexpected model shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions