Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 3?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 交易量
$53,561 交易量
2026-05-03
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$53,561 交易量
$53,561 交易量
2026-05-03
18°C or below
$2,074 交易量
No
19°C
$2,031 交易量
No
20°C
$2,201 交易量
No
21°C
$2,371 交易量
No
22°C
$7,589 交易量
No
23°C
$4,087 交易量
No
24°C
$5,842 交易量
No
25°C
$11,900 交易量
Yes
26°C
$6,406 交易量
No
27°C
$4,834 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$4,226 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$53,561結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$53,561結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport (station LLBG) finalized the highest temperature in Tel Aviv at exactly 25°C on May 3, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This reflects direct measurements from calibrated thermometers, corroborated by Israel Meteorological Service data, following a sharp cooldown from May 2's 29°C peak amid a fading heatwave—northerly winds, mid-level cloud cover, and an upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, matching pre-event forecast model ensembles projecting low-to-mid 20s°C. Early hourly readings hovered near 23°C, consistent with early May climatology averaging 25–26°C under Mediterranean sea-breeze influences. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization data revisions, which protocols deem unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions