Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Busan on August 22 near 26–27 °C, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds, high dew points around 24–25 °C, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 27 °C and 26 °C outcomes, reflecting typical late-August climatology for the region where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 25 °C absent a strong frontal passage. No major model shifts or incoming disturbances have altered expectations in the past 24–48 hours, keeping lower bins at negligible implied probabilities while sustaining trader consensus around the forecast range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日釜山的最低溫度?
27°C 100.0%
25°C 1%
26°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
$2,450 交易量
$2,450 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C 1%
26°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
$2,450 交易量
$2,450 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate an overnight low in Busan on August 22 near 26–27 °C, driven by a stable warm, humid air mass with light easterly winds, high dew points around 24–25 °C, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on 27 °C and 26 °C outcomes, reflecting typical late-August climatology for the region where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 25 °C absent a strong frontal passage. No major model shifts or incoming disturbances have altered expectations in the past 24–48 hours, keeping lower bins at negligible implied probabilities while sustaining trader consensus around the forecast range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions