**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and high-pressure dominance are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the minimum temperature near or below the 17°C threshold.** Official and model consensus from sources including GFS-based forecasts and European agencies indicate a daytime high of 33–36°C on September 2 followed by a clear night with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, allowing surface temperatures to fall to approximately 16–20°C by dawn. Historical climatology places the September 2 average low at 17.6°C, and current conditions align closely with this baseline without significant warm-air advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 17°C or below incorporates this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread across ensembles regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. No major weather features are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月2日馬德裏最低氣溫？
22°C 96%
18°C 70%
19°C 17%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
-
18°C
70%
19°C
17%
20°C
8%
21°C
13%
22°C
96%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 96%
18°C 70%
19°C 17%
21°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$51 交易量
-
18°C
$6 交易量
70%
19°C
$6 交易量
17%
20°C
$32 交易量
8%
21°C
$5 交易量
13%
22°C
$5 交易量
96%
23°C
$5 交易量
13%
24°C
$5 交易量
7%
25°C
$27 交易量
2%
26°C
$22 交易量
3%
27°C or higher
$22 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and high-pressure dominance are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the minimum temperature near or below the 17°C threshold.** Official and model consensus from sources including GFS-based forecasts and European agencies indicate a daytime high of 33–36°C on September 2 followed by a clear night with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, allowing surface temperatures to fall to approximately 16–20°C by dawn. Historical climatology places the September 2 average low at 17.6°C, and current conditions align closely with this baseline without significant warm-air advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 17°C or below incorporates this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread across ensembles regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. No major weather features are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$186結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and high-pressure dominance are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the minimum temperature near or below the 17°C threshold.** Official and model consensus from sources including GFS-based forecasts and European agencies indicate a daytime high of 33–36°C on September 2 followed by a clear night with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, allowing surface temperatures to fall to approximately 16–20°C by dawn. Historical climatology places the September 2 average low at 17.6°C, and current conditions align closely with this baseline without significant warm-air advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 17°C or below incorporates this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread across ensembles regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. No major weather features are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$186結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Clear skies, light northerly winds, and high-pressure dominance are driving overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the minimum temperature near or below the 17°C threshold.** Official and model consensus from sources including GFS-based forecasts and European agencies indicate a daytime high of 33–36°C on September 2 followed by a clear night with minimal cloud cover and dew points in the low teens Celsius, allowing surface temperatures to fall to approximately 16–20°C by dawn. Historical climatology places the September 2 average low at 17.6°C, and current conditions align closely with this baseline without significant warm-air advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the 51% implied probability for 17°C or below incorporates this model agreement while acknowledging minor spread across ensembles regarding exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. No major weather features are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions