Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月9日邁阿密的最低溫度?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 交易量
$44,064 交易量
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 交易量
$44,064 交易量
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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