Official meteorological observations from Milan-area stations, including Linate and Malpensa, recorded an overnight minimum of 19°C on August 29 under predominantly clear skies that promoted strong radiative cooling after a warm daytime high near 30–31°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where calm winds and moderate humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently once solar heating ceases, matching ensemble forecast guidance from models initialized days earlier. The near-certain 99.4% market-implied odds reflect this robust observational consensus and historical precedent for similar August nights. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, measurement revision, or localized microclimate effect outside standard reporting networks could realistically alter the recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日米蘭的最低溫度?
19°C 100.0%
17°C 8%
18°C 4%
13°C or below <1%
$3,742 交易量
$3,742 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C 8%
18°C 4%
13°C or below <1%
$3,742 交易量
$3,742 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Milan-area stations, including Linate and Malpensa, recorded an overnight minimum of 19°C on August 29 under predominantly clear skies that promoted strong radiative cooling after a warm daytime high near 30–31°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley, where calm winds and moderate humidity allow surface temperatures to drop efficiently once solar heating ceases, matching ensemble forecast guidance from models initialized days earlier. The near-certain 99.4% market-implied odds reflect this robust observational consensus and historical precedent for similar August nights. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, measurement revision, or localized microclimate effect outside standard reporting networks could realistically alter the recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions