Current forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 7–10°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling after daytime highs near 16–17°C. Northwest winds of 5–10 km/h limit boundary-layer mixing, while dew points around 5–8°C support efficient heat loss after sunset. This aligns with the market's near-even odds around the 7–9°C thresholds, reflecting model spread on exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Historical September 21 minima average 9.4°C, with recent cooler nights underscoring sensitivity to these variables; final readings from official stations will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日慕尼黑最低溫度?
11°C 60%
8°C 55%
7°C或以下 51%
9°C 50%
7°C或以下
51%
8°C
55%
9°C
50%
10°C
31%
11°C
60%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
11°C 60%
8°C 55%
7°C或以下 51%
9°C 50%
7°C或以下
51%
8°C
55%
9°C
50%
10°C
31%
11°C
60%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 7–10°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling after daytime highs near 16–17°C. Northwest winds of 5–10 km/h limit boundary-layer mixing, while dew points around 5–8°C support efficient heat loss after sunset. This aligns with the market's near-even odds around the 7–9°C thresholds, reflecting model spread on exact cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Historical September 21 minima average 9.4°C, with recent cooler nights underscoring sensitivity to these variables; final readings from official stations will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions