**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月8日慕尼黑最低溫度？
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 交易量
$2,591 交易量
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 交易量
$2,591 交易量
2026-09-08
12°C或以下
$337 交易量
是
13°C
$257 交易量
否
14°C
$410 交易量
否
15°C
$497 交易量
否
16°C
$500 交易量
否
17°C
$57 交易量
否
18°C
$78 交易量
否
19°C
$186 交易量
否
20°C
$87 交易量
否
21°C
$91 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$91 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,591結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,591結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions