Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日慕尼黑最低溫度？
9月9日慕尼黑最低溫度？
11°C 47%
13°C 47%
12°C 46%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
47%
12°C
46%
13°C
47%
14°C
27%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C或以上
<1%
11°C 47%
13°C 47%
12°C 46%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
$93 交易量
1%
9°C
$80 交易量
5%
10°C
$20 交易量
8%
11°C
$0 交易量
47%
12°C
$0 交易量
46%
13°C
$5 交易量
47%
14°C
$5 交易量
27%
15°C
$63 交易量
5%
16°C
$20 交易量
5%
17°C
$582 交易量
4%
18°C或以上
$60 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$927結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$927結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOngoing precipitation and extensive cloud cover from a mid-latitude trough are suppressing daytime heating and limiting overnight radiative cooling in Munich, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 11–13 °C according to consensus model guidance. Northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air further constrain the diurnal range, while embedded showers add localized evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from sources such as the Deutscher Wetterdienst and Met Office currently project a daily minimum of 11–12 °C, aligning with the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C. Updated high-resolution model runs and surface observations through the evening will determine whether the low settles at or below the 12 °C threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions