Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 4?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$16,472 交易量
$16,472 交易量
2026-05-04
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$16,472 交易量
$16,472 交易量
2026-05-04
7°C or below
$710 交易量
No
8°C
$1,262 交易量
No
9°C
$1,259 交易量
No
10°C
$719 交易量
No
11°C
$507 交易量
No
12°C
$1,780 交易量
No
13°C
$4,603 交易量
Yes
14°C
$509 交易量
No
15°C
$846 交易量
No
16°C
$611 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$3,667 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$16,472結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,472結束日期
2026-05-04市場開放時間
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Montsouris reference station confirm the daily minimum temperature reached 13.7°C around 02:36 UTC on May 4, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 13°C outcome per market resolution standards, which typically use integer values from this authoritative site. Mild southerly flows and persistent cloud cover overnight inhibited radiative cooling, keeping lows above the early May climatological average of 9–10°C despite cooler model guidance pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering a validated lower reading from compliant sensors within Paris boundaries, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary bulletins are issued. Final validation expected via Météo-France's climatological release within 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions