Delaware's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeking a fourth term against Republican primary contenders including Michael Katz and John Shulli, with the general election set for November 3. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and Coons' incumbency advantages. Trader consensus on Person A versus Other at even odds, alongside split probabilities across Democrat victory margins and a roughly 30% chance for a Republican win, stems from the pre-primary stage where candidate fields remain fluid and specific turnout or national political conditions could influence the final spread. Upcoming September primaries and any shifts in the broader midterm environment represent key variables that could alter assessments of the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党获胜 29%
民主党领先15-20% 28%
民主党 20-25% 28%
Democrat 45%+ 28%

共和党获胜
29%

民主党 0-10%
24%

民主党领先10%-15%
27%

民主党领先15-20%
28%

民主党 20-25%
28%

民主党 25-30%
23%

民主党 30-35%
26%

民主党 35-40%
26%

民主党 40%-45%
23%

Democrat 45%+
28%
共和党获胜 29%
民主党领先15-20% 28%
民主党 20-25% 28%
Democrat 45%+ 28%

共和党获胜
29%

民主党 0-10%
24%

民主党领先10%-15%
27%

民主党领先15-20%
28%

民主党 20-25%
28%

民主党 25-30%
23%

民主党 30-35%
26%

民主党 35-40%
26%

民主党 40%-45%
23%

Democrat 45%+
28%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Delaware Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Delaware Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Delaware's 2026 U.S. Senate race features incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeking a fourth term against Republican primary contenders including Michael Katz and John Shulli, with the general election set for November 3. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state's strong partisan lean and Coons' incumbency advantages. Trader consensus on Person A versus Other at even odds, alongside split probabilities across Democrat victory margins and a roughly 30% chance for a Republican win, stems from the pre-primary stage where candidate fields remain fluid and specific turnout or national political conditions could influence the final spread. Upcoming September primaries and any shifts in the broader midterm environment represent key variables that could alter assessments of the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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