Delaware's longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections continues to shape trader sentiment for the 2026 Senate race, with the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates driving the 94.5% implied probability on the Democratic outcome. Primary factors include the absence of competitive Republican challengers in recent cycles and the structural advantages of incumbency for the sitting Democratic senator. Historical voting patterns show the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate in more than three decades, reinforcing the current market positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major candidate health event, late-stage scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that shifts turnout in this reliably blue state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,242 交易量
$12,242 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$12,242 交易量
$12,242 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,059 交易量
95%
共和党
$4,184 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Delaware's longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections continues to shape trader sentiment for the 2026 Senate race, with the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates driving the 94.5% implied probability on the Democratic outcome. Primary factors include the absence of competitive Republican challengers in recent cycles and the structural advantages of incumbency for the sitting Democratic senator. Historical voting patterns show the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate in more than three decades, reinforcing the current market positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major candidate health event, late-stage scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that shifts turnout in this reliably blue state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$12,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Delaware's longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections continues to shape trader sentiment for the 2026 Senate race, with the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates driving the 94.5% implied probability on the Democratic outcome. Primary factors include the absence of competitive Republican challengers in recent cycles and the structural advantages of incumbency for the sitting Democratic senator. Historical voting patterns show the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate in more than three decades, reinforcing the current market positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major candidate health event, late-stage scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that shifts turnout in this reliably blue state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$12,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's longstanding Democratic dominance in federal elections continues to shape trader sentiment for the 2026 Senate race, with the state's consistent preference for Democratic candidates driving the 94.5% implied probability on the Democratic outcome. Primary factors include the absence of competitive Republican challengers in recent cycles and the structural advantages of incumbency for the sitting Democratic senator. Historical voting patterns show the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate in more than three decades, reinforcing the current market positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include a major candidate health event, late-stage scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that shifts turnout in this reliably blue state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题