Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Ankara's highest temperature on March 29, with models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 9–11°C amid a lingering cold air mass over Central Anatolia. Recent northerly winds and an upper-level trough have suppressed highs, as seen in the past 48 hours' readings dipping to 8–10°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation. Springtime variability in the region's continental climate adds divergence, with GFS showing slight warming potential to 11°C while Euro models favor 9–10°C peaks. Traders await MGM's next advisory update later today, which could refine diurnal maximum estimates based on boundary layer mixing and cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?
10°C 30%
9°C 27%
11°C 20%
8°C 14%
$68,970 交易量
$68,970 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
14%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
20%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 30%
9°C 27%
11°C 20%
8°C 14%
$68,970 交易量
$68,970 交易量
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
14%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
20%
12°C
8%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Ankara's highest temperature on March 29, with models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 9–11°C amid a lingering cold air mass over Central Anatolia. Recent northerly winds and an upper-level trough have suppressed highs, as seen in the past 48 hours' readings dipping to 8–10°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation. Springtime variability in the region's continental climate adds divergence, with GFS showing slight warming potential to 11°C while Euro models favor 9–10°C peaks. Traders await MGM's next advisory update later today, which could refine diurnal maximum estimates based on boundary layer mixing and cloud cover evolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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