Traders heavily favor 8°C or higher at 83% implied probability for Toronto's highest temperature on March 31, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF model runs forecasting a daytime high near 12°C under a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow ushering in above-normal warmth for late March. This consensus reflects stable spring conditions with no signals of Arctic air intrusion, contrasting historical averages around 6°C; recent 48-hour updates show negligible model spread, with GFS and Canadian ensembles aligning on 10–14°C peaks. Official hourly observations will confirm resolution, but current data points to low risk of cooler outcomes amid persistent sunny skies and light winds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月31日多伦多气温最高？
3月31日多伦多气温最高？
8°C或更高 96%
6°C 3.6%
7°C 2.1%
5°C 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
-2°C或更低
1%
-1°C
1%
0°C
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
4%
7°C
2%
8°C或更高
96%
8°C或更高 96%
6°C 3.6%
7°C 2.1%
5°C 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
-2°C或更低
$660 交易量
1%
-1°C
$678 交易量
1%
0°C
$182 交易量
1%
1°C
$294 交易量
1%
2°C
$777 交易量
1%
3°C
$636 交易量
1%
4°C
$135 交易量
1%
5°C
$131 交易量
2%
6°C
$76 交易量
4%
7°C
$334 交易量
2%
8°C或更高
$2,299 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders heavily favor 8°C or higher at 83% implied probability for Toronto's highest temperature on March 31, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF model runs forecasting a daytime high near 12°C under a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow ushering in above-normal warmth for late March. This consensus reflects stable spring conditions with no signals of Arctic air intrusion, contrasting historical averages around 6°C; recent 48-hour updates show negligible model spread, with GFS and Canadian ensembles aligning on 10–14°C peaks. Official hourly observations will confirm resolution, but current data points to low risk of cooler outcomes amid persistent sunny skies and light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$6,202结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders heavily favor 8°C or higher at 83% implied probability for Toronto's highest temperature on March 31, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF model runs forecasting a daytime high near 12°C under a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow ushering in above-normal warmth for late March. This consensus reflects stable spring conditions with no signals of Arctic air intrusion, contrasting historical averages around 6°C; recent 48-hour updates show negligible model spread, with GFS and Canadian ensembles aligning on 10–14°C peaks. Official hourly observations will confirm resolution, but current data points to low risk of cooler outcomes amid persistent sunny skies and light winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,202结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 8°C or higher at 83% implied probability for Toronto's highest temperature on March 31, driven by the latest Environment Canada and ECMWF model runs forecasting a daytime high near 12°C under a mild high-pressure ridge and southerly flow ushering in above-normal warmth for late March. This consensus reflects stable spring conditions with no signals of Arctic air intrusion, contrasting historical averages around 6°C; recent 48-hour updates show negligible model spread, with GFS and Canadian ensembles aligning on 10–14°C peaks. Official hourly observations will confirm resolution, but current data points to low risk of cooler outcomes amid persistent sunny skies and light winds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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