Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul's highest temperature on March 31 clustering tightly around 15-17°C, mirroring the Polymarket's evenly split trader consensus with implied probabilities of 22-24.5% for these outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting daytime warming, offset by variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1-2°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minimal shifts, maintaining a 2°C spread amid typical springtime uncertainty from evolving synoptic patterns. Climatological March highs average 12-14°C, but current anomalies suggest above-normal conditions. Traders await daily 00Z updates for potential refinement ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月31日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
3月31日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
17°C 25%
16°C 24%
15°C 23%
8°C或以下 17%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
8°C或以下
11%
9°C
5%
10°C
17%
11°C
11%
12°C
15%
13°C
15%
14°C
14%
15°C
23%
16°C
24%
17°C
25%
18°C或更高
13%
17°C 25%
16°C 24%
15°C 23%
8°C或以下 17%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
8°C或以下
$464 交易量
11%
9°C
$145 交易量
5%
10°C
$0 交易量
17%
11°C
$0 交易量
11%
12°C
$0 交易量
15%
13°C
$5 交易量
15%
14°C
$0 交易量
14%
15°C
$10 交易量
23%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C或更高
$30 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul's highest temperature on March 31 clustering tightly around 15-17°C, mirroring the Polymarket's evenly split trader consensus with implied probabilities of 22-24.5% for these outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting daytime warming, offset by variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1-2°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minimal shifts, maintaining a 2°C spread amid typical springtime uncertainty from evolving synoptic patterns. Climatological March highs average 12-14°C, but current anomalies suggest above-normal conditions. Traders await daily 00Z updates for potential refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$655结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul's highest temperature on March 31 clustering tightly around 15-17°C, mirroring the Polymarket's evenly split trader consensus with implied probabilities of 22-24.5% for these outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting daytime warming, offset by variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1-2°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minimal shifts, maintaining a 2°C spread amid typical springtime uncertainty from evolving synoptic patterns. Climatological March highs average 12-14°C, but current anomalies suggest above-normal conditions. Traders await daily 00Z updates for potential refinement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$655结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Istanbul's highest temperature on March 31 clustering tightly around 15-17°C, mirroring the Polymarket's evenly split trader consensus with implied probabilities of 22-24.5% for these outcomes. This reflects a mild high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean promoting daytime warming, offset by variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1-2°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minimal shifts, maintaining a 2°C spread amid typical springtime uncertainty from evolving synoptic patterns. Climatological March highs average 12-14°C, but current anomalies suggest above-normal conditions. Traders await daily 00Z updates for potential refinement ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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