Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月16日安卡拉的最高温度？
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
18%
24°C
33%
25°C
27%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$345 交易量
<1%
20°C
$268 交易量
1%
21°C
$166 交易量
2%
22°C
$383 交易量
8%
23°C
$359 交易量
18%
24°C
$1,075 交易量
33%
25°C
$1,014 交易量
27%
26°C
$1,132 交易量
6%
27°C
$637 交易量
4%
28°C
$116 交易量
1%
29°C或以上
$176 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,671结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,671结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETDivergent numerical weather prediction outputs for maximum temperature in Ankara on September 16 create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance and operational models show a high near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C, with afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating. Regional moisture advection and weak instability favor convective development after midday, potentially capping readings below clearer-sky scenarios that reach 26–27°C. Official monitoring from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the outcome based on the daily maximum at the primary Ankara station, where small differences in timing of precipitation or insolation can shift the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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