Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Atlanta's March 26 high temperature clustering between 80-83°F, with 82-83°F edging out at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecast ensembles showing model consensus around 81-82°F under a potent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This subtropical high promotes subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting Gulf of Mexico heat, pushing well above the March climatological average of 68°F. Differentiating the razor-thin 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F leaders are subtle GFS-ECMWF spreads: the American GFS runs slightly hotter with ridge axis nearer Atlanta, while Euro models temper peaks via marginal diurnal cloudiness; 78-79°F at 20% reflects downside risks from earlier frontal timing. Watch NWS point forecast update by midday March 25 for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日亚特兰大最高温度?
3月26日亚特兰大最高温度?
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 20%
84-85华氏度 7%
$19,666 交易量
$19,666 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
32%
84-85华氏度
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90华氏度或更高
1%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 20%
84-85华氏度 7%
$19,666 交易量
$19,666 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
32%
84-85华氏度
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90华氏度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Atlanta's March 26 high temperature clustering between 80-83°F, with 82-83°F edging out at 32.5% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecast ensembles showing model consensus around 81-82°F under a potent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This subtropical high promotes subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting Gulf of Mexico heat, pushing well above the March climatological average of 68°F. Differentiating the razor-thin 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F leaders are subtle GFS-ECMWF spreads: the American GFS runs slightly hotter with ridge axis nearer Atlanta, while Euro models temper peaks via marginal diurnal cloudiness; 78-79°F at 20% reflects downside risks from earlier frontal timing. Watch NWS point forecast update by midday March 25 for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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