Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 27?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$50,718 交易量
$50,718 交易量
2026-04-27
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$50,718 交易量
$50,718 交易量
2026-04-27
24°C or below
$3,636 交易量
No
25°C
$817 交易量
No
26°C
$3,745 交易量
No
27°C
$4,059 交易量
No
28°C
$3,414 交易量
No
29°C
$6,019 交易量
No
30°C
$8,082 交易量
Yes
31°C
$7,779 交易量
No
32°C
$4,541 交易量
No
33°C
$4,748 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$3,878 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
交易量
$50,718结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$50,718结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official measurements from the China Meteorological Administration at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 30°C on April 27, 2026, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders incorporate real-time observational data via Weather Underground records showing a peak of 86°F. A strengthening subtropical ridge post-thunderstorms cleared skies for peak solar insolation midday, with urban heat island effects adding about 1°C amid high humidity limiting further rises, aligning with GFS, ECMWF, and CMA model consensus spanning 29–31°C. Historical late-April averages near 28°C provide context, while resolution hinges on whole-degree airport readings; rare post-report revisions from equipment calibration could challenge, though unlikely given consistent hourly logs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题