The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 交易量
$266,570 交易量
2026-05-31
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 交易量
$266,570 交易量
2026-05-31
22°C or below
$2,341 交易量
No
23°C
$441 交易量
No
24°C
$1,441 交易量
No
25°C
$441 交易量
No
26°C
$1,468 交易量
No
27°C
$8,737 交易量
No
28°C
$14,066 交易量
No
29°C
$61,109 交易量
No
30°C
$105,486 交易量
Yes
31°C
$29,072 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$41,967 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$266,570结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$266,570结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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