Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan project daytime highs near 31–33°C on August 8 under continued summer conditions, consistent with regional model consensus and ongoing heat patterns across Shandong. Jinan’s humid subtropical-continental climate typically features August average highs of 30–32°C, with frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak periods, supported by recent observations of 37–40°C readings earlier in the month. The 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher aggregates trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited frontal activity and seasonal insolation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model revision lowering the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the proximity to the date and current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日济南气温最高？
8月8日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 97.1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97.1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
16°C or below
$128 交易量
<1%
17°C
$120 交易量
<1%
18°C
$128 交易量
1%
19°C
$96 交易量
1%
20°C
$128 交易量
1%
21°C
$129 交易量
1%
22°C
$116 交易量
<1%
23°C
$327 交易量
1%
24°C
$123 交易量
1%
25°C
$148 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$426 交易量
97%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan project daytime highs near 31–33°C on August 8 under continued summer conditions, consistent with regional model consensus and ongoing heat patterns across Shandong. Jinan’s humid subtropical-continental climate typically features August average highs of 30–32°C, with frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak periods, supported by recent observations of 37–40°C readings earlier in the month. The 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher aggregates trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited frontal activity and seasonal insolation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model revision lowering the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the proximity to the date and current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,870结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan project daytime highs near 31–33°C on August 8 under continued summer conditions, consistent with regional model consensus and ongoing heat patterns across Shandong. Jinan’s humid subtropical-continental climate typically features August average highs of 30–32°C, with frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak periods, supported by recent observations of 37–40°C readings earlier in the month. The 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher aggregates trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited frontal activity and seasonal insolation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model revision lowering the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the proximity to the date and current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,870结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Jinan project daytime highs near 31–33°C on August 8 under continued summer conditions, consistent with regional model consensus and ongoing heat patterns across Shandong. Jinan’s humid subtropical-continental climate typically features August average highs of 30–32°C, with frequent exceedances above 35°C during peak periods, supported by recent observations of 37–40°C readings earlier in the month. The 97.1% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher aggregates trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions, including limited frontal activity and seasonal insolation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model revision lowering the maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the proximity to the date and current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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