Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月4日墨西哥城气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,141 交易量
$28,141 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,141 交易量
$28,141 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City on June 4 recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C, aligning with typical early June highs at the city's high-elevation plateau under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate solar insolation. Long-term climatological averages place June peaks near 24–26°C, with minimal day-to-day variability absent strong frontal systems or moisture surges from the Pacific or Gulf. This data point from authoritative surface stations drove the market-implied odds to near-certainty for 25°C. Minor variations in microsite placement, instrumentation calibration, or timing of peak measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value by 1°C, though such discrepancies remain rare in standardized reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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