Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 10?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 交易量
$28,810 交易量
2026-05-10
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 交易量
$28,810 交易量
2026-05-10
15°C or below
$908 交易量
No
16°C
$1,359 交易量
No
17°C
$1,110 交易量
No
18°C
$1,083 交易量
No
19°C
$1,253 交易量
No
20°C
$1,142 交易量
No
21°C
$1,261 交易量
No
22°C
$2,736 交易量
No
23°C
$3,584 交易量
No
24°C
$7,812 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$6,561 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,810结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,810结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题