Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 交易量
$48,190 交易量
2026-05-06
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 交易量
$48,190 交易量
2026-05-06
25°C or below
$8,533 交易量
No
26°C
$930 交易量
No
27°C
$1,558 交易量
No
28°C
$10,570 交易量
No
29°C
$6,785 交易量
No
30°C
$5,630 交易量
Yes
31°C
$4,420 交易量
No
32°C
$2,160 交易量
No
33°C
$2,762 交易量
No
34°C
$2,887 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$1,955 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
交易量
$48,190结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,190结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题