National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 21?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 21?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$94,216 交易量
$94,216 交易量
2026-04-21
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$94,216 交易量
$94,216 交易量
2026-04-21
69°F or below
$1,644 交易量
No
70-71°F
$1,211 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,011 交易量
No
74-75°F
$14,795 交易量
No
76-77°F
$15,803 交易量
No
78-79°F
$13,754 交易量
No
80-81°F
$13,242 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$11,618 交易量
No
84-85°F
$7,113 交易量
No
86-87°F
$6,052 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$4,972 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 19, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
交易量
$94,216结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$94,216结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official station for this market, confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 80°F around midday, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome as data finalizes via Weather Underground records. This peak, 4°F below the April climatological normal of 84°F, stemmed from a recent cold front introducing cooler mid-level air masses, persistent gusty northeast winds of 15-20 mph gusting to 32 mph that suppressed sea breeze development and convective heating, plus extreme drought limiting evaporative cooling amid partly cloudy skies. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF accurately forecasted this subdued boundary layer warming. Only a rare post-audit revision by NWS—historically negligible for finalized automated data—could challenge resolution, with markets typically locking post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题