Official observations from Moscow's meteorological station at VDNKh confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 11°C, solidifying 100% trader consensus on this outcome as markets resolved post-event. This followed ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 11°C, accurate amid cloudy skies and 0.6 mm of precipitation that suppressed warming after April 1's 17.1°C high during an anomalously warm spring—March 2026 marked Moscow's hottest on record since 1779. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 10–12°C, aligning with measured conditions. Revisions to station data are rare but could theoretically challenge resolution if discrepancies emerge from secondary sites like Balchug.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
11°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$134,660 交易量
$134,660 交易量
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$134,660 交易量
$134,660 交易量
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Moscow's meteorological station at VDNKh confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 11°C, solidifying 100% trader consensus on this outcome as markets resolved post-event. This followed ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering around 11°C, accurate amid cloudy skies and 0.6 mm of precipitation that suppressed warming after April 1's 17.1°C high during an anomalously warm spring—March 2026 marked Moscow's hottest on record since 1779. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 10–12°C, aligning with measured conditions. Revisions to station data are rare but could theoretically challenge resolution if discrepancies emerge from secondary sites like Balchug.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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