Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on May 5?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,221 交易量
$14,221 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,221 交易量
$14,221 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 29°C or higher in Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPTO), reflecting robust forecast model agreement from NOAA and regional guidance projecting peaks around 31–33°C under persistent clear skies, light easterly winds, and typical May climatology in Panama's tropical lowlands. Daily highs rarely dip below 29°C historically during this shoulder season, with minimal convective activity disrupting heating today. This positioning stems from stable atmospheric conditions over the past week, including suppressed rainfall from a strengthening subtropical ridge. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in intertropical convergence zone activity bringing afternoon thunderstorms or unforecasted marine layer persistence, though probabilities remain below 5% per ensemble models; intraday observations from MPTO will confirm resolution later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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