Official meteorological observations from Brazil's INMET network recorded a daily maximum of 21°C in São Paulo on June 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. June temperatures in the region typically range 18–23°C during the austral winter, with clear skies and light winds allowing modest daytime warming before radiative cooling overnight. The 100% consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless post-processing adjustments or station-specific anomalies emerge. Traders note that alternative scenarios, such as localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 21°C at secondary sites, remain possible but have not altered the primary reference measurement used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 5?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$55,956 交易量
$55,956 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$55,956 交易量
$55,956 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from Brazil's INMET network recorded a daily maximum of 21°C in São Paulo on June 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. June temperatures in the region typically range 18–23°C during the austral winter, with clear skies and light winds allowing modest daytime warming before radiative cooling overnight. The 100% consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless post-processing adjustments or station-specific anomalies emerge. Traders note that alternative scenarios, such as localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 21°C at secondary sites, remain possible but have not altered the primary reference measurement used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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