Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡5月1日的最高温度?
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 交易量
$139,133 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 交易量
$139,133 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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