Current forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv will peak near 32°C today, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact threshold. September climatology for the coastal plain shows typical highs of 29–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking this range, and model consensus shows little intensification potential from sea breezes or urban heat effects. A realistic scenario that could alter resolution would require an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 34°C, though current atmospheric profiles and short-term guidance make such an excursion highly improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日特拉维夫气温最高？
9月12日特拉维夫气温最高？
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$25,614 交易量
$25,614 交易量
2026-09-12
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$25,614 交易量
$25,614 交易量
2026-09-12
28°C或以下
$442 交易量
否
29°C
$835 交易量
否
30°C
$1,435 交易量
否
31°C
$8,160 交易量
否
32°C
$5,653 交易量
是
33°C
$4,277 交易量
否
34°C
$1,887 交易量
否
35°C
$320 交易量
否
36°C
$320 交易量
否
37°C
$1,228 交易量
否
38°C或更高
$1,059 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv will peak near 32°C today, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact threshold. September climatology for the coastal plain shows typical highs of 29–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking this range, and model consensus shows little intensification potential from sea breezes or urban heat effects. A realistic scenario that could alter resolution would require an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 34°C, though current atmospheric profiles and short-term guidance make such an excursion highly improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$25,614结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv will peak near 32°C today, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact threshold. September climatology for the coastal plain shows typical highs of 29–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking this range, and model consensus shows little intensification potential from sea breezes or urban heat effects. A realistic scenario that could alter resolution would require an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 34°C, though current atmospheric profiles and short-term guidance make such an excursion highly improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,614结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate Tel Aviv will peak near 32°C today, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability on that exact threshold. September climatology for the coastal plain shows typical highs of 29–33°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with minimal day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. Official observations through midday confirm readings tracking this range, and model consensus shows little intensification potential from sea breezes or urban heat effects. A realistic scenario that could alter resolution would require an unexpected late-day surge exceeding 34°C, though current atmospheric profiles and short-term guidance make such an excursion highly improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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