Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus, corroborated across sources including NOAA-aligned and regional models, positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 66% implied probability while capping upside at 33°C. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and expected afternoon sea breezes provide natural moderation, reducing the likelihood of exceeding historical September averages. No significant synoptic shifts or heat advection are anticipated before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-term observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日特拉维夫的最高温度?
32°C 66%
33°C 30%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
66%
33°C
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 66%
33°C 30%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
66%
33°C
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest meteorological forecasts from multiple models project a daily maximum of 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus, corroborated across sources including NOAA-aligned and regional models, positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 66% implied probability while capping upside at 33°C. Sea surface temperatures near 28°C and expected afternoon sea breezes provide natural moderation, reducing the likelihood of exceeding historical September averages. No significant synoptic shifts or heat advection are anticipated before resolution, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-term observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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