MetService's latest hourly observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's official resolution source—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 17°C amid a stable ridge of high pressure dominating central New Zealand, fostering light northerly winds, clearing skies, and mild autumnal heating consistent with April climatology where daily maximums average around 17°C. Numerical weather prediction models exhibited strong consensus on this outcome, with minimal boundary-layer variability and no convective activity to drive extremes, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% certainty backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon northerly surge enhancing solar mixing to 18°C, though post-peak cooling and sunset at approximately 5:30 PM NZST render this improbable; final observations expected within hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 28?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$83,493 交易量
$83,493 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$83,493 交易量
$83,493 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
MetService's latest hourly observations from Wellington International Airport—the market's official resolution source—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 17°C amid a stable ridge of high pressure dominating central New Zealand, fostering light northerly winds, clearing skies, and mild autumnal heating consistent with April climatology where daily maximums average around 17°C. Numerical weather prediction models exhibited strong consensus on this outcome, with minimal boundary-layer variability and no convective activity to drive extremes, propelling trader-implied odds to 100% certainty backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon northerly surge enhancing solar mixing to 18°C, though post-peak cooling and sunset at approximately 5:30 PM NZST render this improbable; final observations expected within hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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