Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience continued late-summer warmth on September 6, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or above 20–22°C. This aligns with the market’s elevated odds on 24°C or higher (34.5%) and the cluster of probabilities around 18–22°C outcomes. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.2°C, yet persistent high pressure and dew points in the upper teens Celsius reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model consensus remains tight for the next 48 hours, though any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日北京最低气温？
9月6日北京最低气温？
24°C或更高 69%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
14°C或以下
33%
15°C
20%
16°C
49%
17°C
26%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
69%
24°C或更高 69%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
33%
15°C
$0 交易量
20%
16°C
$0 交易量
49%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
32%
19°C
$0 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
49%
21°C
$0 交易量
49%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience continued late-summer warmth on September 6, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or above 20–22°C. This aligns with the market’s elevated odds on 24°C or higher (34.5%) and the cluster of probabilities around 18–22°C outcomes. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.2°C, yet persistent high pressure and dew points in the upper teens Celsius reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model consensus remains tight for the next 48 hours, though any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience continued late-summer warmth on September 6, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or above 20–22°C. This aligns with the market’s elevated odds on 24°C or higher (34.5%) and the cluster of probabilities around 18–22°C outcomes. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.2°C, yet persistent high pressure and dew points in the upper teens Celsius reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model consensus remains tight for the next 48 hours, though any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will experience continued late-summer warmth on September 6, with southerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near or above 20–22°C. This aligns with the market’s elevated odds on 24°C or higher (34.5%) and the cluster of probabilities around 18–22°C outcomes. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.2°C, yet persistent high pressure and dew points in the upper teens Celsius reduce the chance of sharper drops. Model consensus remains tight for the next 48 hours, though any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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