**Short-term forecast consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others points to a September 3 overnight low in Guangzhou near 23–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, 20–50% rain chances, and moderate northwest winds.** Persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while elevated humidity (70–85%) and a tropical low-pressure influence maintain warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–3 °C; stronger northerly flow or brief clearing could allow values closer to the historical 22.7 °C record low, whereas thicker overcast supports the upper end near 25 °C. This uncertainty, against a 25 °C climatological average, drives the tight market split between warmer and cooler outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日广州最低气温?
29°C或更高 85%
19°C或以下 84%
24°C 28%
21°C 26%
19°C或以下
84%
20°C
21%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C或更高
85%
29°C或更高 85%
19°C或以下 84%
24°C 28%
21°C 26%
19°C或以下
84%
20°C
21%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C或更高
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Short-term forecast consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others points to a September 3 overnight low in Guangzhou near 23–25 °C amid mostly cloudy skies, 20–50% rain chances, and moderate northwest winds.** Persistent cloud cover limits nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear conditions, while elevated humidity (70–85%) and a tropical low-pressure influence maintain warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–3 °C; stronger northerly flow or brief clearing could allow values closer to the historical 22.7 °C record low, whereas thicker overcast supports the upper end near 25 °C. This uncertainty, against a 25 °C climatological average, drives the tight market split between warmer and cooler outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题