Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates the overnight low in Guangzhou on September 4 will settle near 23°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that suppress radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this level because subtle differences in timing of any clearing or moisture advection could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. Historical early-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current elevated humidity and residual monsoon influences favor limited nocturnal drops. Final overnight model updates and official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact threshold before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日广州最低气温？
9月4日广州最低气温？
18°C或以下 71%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
71%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C或更高
48%
18°C或以下 71%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
71%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22°C
$0 交易量
50%
23°C
$82 交易量
38%
24°C
$57 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
50%
27°C
$0 交易量
50%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates the overnight low in Guangzhou on September 4 will settle near 23°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that suppress radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this level because subtle differences in timing of any clearing or moisture advection could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. Historical early-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current elevated humidity and residual monsoon influences favor limited nocturnal drops. Final overnight model updates and official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact threshold before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$139结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates the overnight low in Guangzhou on September 4 will settle near 23°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that suppress radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this level because subtle differences in timing of any clearing or moisture advection could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. Historical early-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current elevated humidity and residual monsoon influences favor limited nocturnal drops. Final overnight model updates and official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact threshold before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$139结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicates the overnight low in Guangzhou on September 4 will settle near 23°C, driven by extensive cloud cover and light northwesterly winds that suppress radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this level because subtle differences in timing of any clearing or moisture advection could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. Historical early-September averages near 25°C provide context, yet current elevated humidity and residual monsoon influences favor limited nocturnal drops. Final overnight model updates and official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the exact threshold before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题